PDP report

target y · 3 features · 3 plotted

data 1,000 × 33 continuousmodel output 1.17 ± 0.803 in [-0.546, 3.38]
method pdptop_k 5coverage 0.8000heter_threshold 0.2919min_r2_gain 0.0100finder bestnof_instances 1000random_state 21

1 · Overview — where to look

An additive surrogate read off the global curves reproduces 86.7% of the model's predicted variance; adding the regional plots kept by the decision sequence, 99.8%.

explained-variance ledger

Each point is a feature: importance (x) against heterogeneity (y). Bottom-left is ignorable; bottom-right is important and fully described by its mean effect; the top-right corner — important and heterogeneous — is where the mean hides something. An arrow marks each split the decision sequence accepted: from the feature's global point to its weighted-mean point across the subregions.

feature triage
#featureimportanceheterogeneity#regionsregional analysis
1x_20.66790.00001below the search threshold →
2x_10.32610.29197split found — rejected by the decision sequence →
3x_00.29170.00003split into 2 regions →

The plotted features carry 100% of the total importance mass (target 80%, ceiling top_k = 5).

The decision sequence. Starting from the global curves, each round applies the split with the largest explained-variance gain, measured on top of the splits above it, and stops when no remaining split adds at least 1.0%. A real split (its heterogeneity does drop) can still add nothing — or even hurt, by double-counting — when its variance is already explained by an earlier split.

stepregionsheterogeneityexplained variance
global effects (GAM)··86.7%
+ split x_0 (on x_1)20.295 → 0.000+13.1% → 99.8%
rejected · x_1 (on x_0)40.292 → 0.130-10.2% — redundant (variance already explained)
Bar view — importance and heterogeneityimportance and heterogeneity

2 · Regional analysis — the final CALM

The selected snapshot: global effects everywhere except the accepted splits. Features in descending importance — a split feature enters as one group at the instance-weighted mean of its subregions. The split features' global counterparts are in the baseline section at the end.

2.1 · x_2

importance 0.6679heterogeneity 0.0000regions 1

Global effect

x_2 global effect

Regional effects

Heterogeneity below the threshold — the mean effect tells the whole story; find_regions was skipped.

2.2 · x_1

importance 0.3261heterogeneity 0.2919regions 1

Global effect

x_1 global effect

Regional effects

A split on x_0 into 4 regions was found (heterogeneity 0.292 → 0.130), but the decision sequence skips it: it adds no explained variance beyond the splits kept there — the same variance is already read elsewhere. The regional plots are omitted; reproduce them with find_regions.

2.3 · x_0

importance 0.2917heterogeneity 0.0000regions 2

Split on x_1 into 2 regions — worth +13.1% of explained variance on top of the splits above it; importance and heterogeneity here are the instance-weighted means over the subregions. The global counterpart is in the baseline.

Partition tree

Feature 0 - Full partition tree:
🌳 Full Tree Structure:
───────────────────────
x_0 🔹 [id: 0 | heter: 0.29 | inst: 1000 | w: 1.00]
    x_1 < 0.00 🔹 [id: 1 | heter: 0.00 | inst: 488 | w: 0.49]
    x_1 ≥ 0.00 🔹 [id: 2 | heter: 0.00 | inst: 512 | w: 0.51]
--------------------------------------------------
Feature 0 - Statistics per tree level:
🌳 Tree Summary:
─────────────────
Level 0🔹heter: 0.29
    Level 1🔹heter: 0.00 | 🔻0.29 (100.00%)


x_0 where x_1 < 0.00
heterogeneity 0.0000 · −100% vs global · n=488
x_0 where x_1 ≥ 0.00
heterogeneity 0.0000 · −100% vs global · n=512

3 · Global baseline — without regions

What you would believe about the split features without the regional analysis: their global mean effects, with the heterogeneity the accepted splits just explained still hiding inside the band. Compare with their subregions in the regional analysis above.

x_0

global importance 0.0070global heterogeneity 0.2945
x_0 global effect (baseline)